High-Frequency Prediction Market Research

Cross-venue ETH paper candidates selected from a synchronized 5-second Kalshi–Kraken research panel.

Fresh-forward paper validation Paper-only · simulation · no real orders

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Synchronized observations

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Engineered features

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Specifications attempted

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Active paper candidates

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Contracts / entry

— The identical panel, feature set, and nested out-of-fold protocol were applied to BTC over the full high-frequency coverage window.

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Specs attempted

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Specs completed

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Panel coverage

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Contracts

Kalshi ETH L2 + Kraken ETH L2 → Causal synchronized panel → Cross-venue state → Nested OOF search → Stateful replay → Fresh-forward paper validation